The Manitoba government released its first spring flood outlook on February 25, 2026, predicting a low-to-moderate risk of flooding for Brandon, Manitoba, and surrounding areas. This initial report helps local officials and residents prepare for the upcoming snowmelt along the Assiniboine, Red, and Souris rivers.
Water levels on the Assiniboine River between the Shellmouth Dam and Brandon are expected to go up by about two feet over the next few days. This happens because the province is increasing the water flow from the dam to 1,300 cubic feet per second as part of its normal winter operations.
Current conditions show that while snow levels are near normal, the soil is drier than usual and the frost is not very deep. These factors should help the ground soak up more water as the snow melts, which may reduce the overall flood risk for the community.
The City of Brandon launched a subsidy program on February 12, 2026, to help residents protect their homes. Eligible property owners can receive up to $2,500 for sump pumps and $1,500 for backwater valves to help manage potential water issues.
The province expects to release another detailed flood report in late March 2026. Officials with the Shellmouth Liaison Committee will continue to monitor dam operations to balance the community’s water supply with safety needs.
