On February 25, 2026, the Hydrologic Forecast Centre announced that the risk of spring flooding for the Assiniboine River near Carberry, Manitoba, is currently low. This outlook suggests that most rivers across the province face a low-to-moderate risk as the winter snow begins to melt.
The 2025 Fall Conditions Report showed that soil moisture levels were below normal to normal before the ground froze last year. Because the soil is relatively dry and winter snowfall has been manageable, the province expects a calmer spring runoff than in previous years.
To prepare for the melt, the Province of Manitoba started its annual ice-cutting program on February 13, 2026. This work is expected to be finished by March 15, 2026, to help prevent ice jams from blocking water flow in key areas.
While the risk is low, provincial officials recommend that farmers and owners of low-lying land near Carberry stay alert. Local conditions can change quickly depending on how fast the snow melts or if heavy rain falls during the spring months.
Government staff are also monitoring the Portage Diversion and other water control structures to manage river levels. Drivers and residents should continue to check for updates on road conditions and water levels as the season progresses.
